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NVIDIA Corp. engages in the design and manufacture of computer graphics processors, chipsets, and related multimedia software. It operates through the following segments: Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) and Compute & Networking. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics, virtual GPU, or vGPU, software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing, automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating metaverse and 3D internet applications. The Compute & Networking segment consists of Data Center accelerated computing platforms and end-to-end networking platforms including Quantum for InfiniBand and Spectrum for Ethernet, NVIDIA DRIVE automated-driving platform and automotive development agreements, Jetson robotics and other embedded platforms, NVIDIA AI Enterprise and other software, and DGX Cloud software and services. The company was founded by Jen Hsun Huang, Chris A. Malachowsky, and Curtis R. Priem in April 1993 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

NVIDIA Corp

NVIDIA is trending after announcing stellar earnings and strong forward guidance, primarily driven by its AI data center business; however, the stock's mixed after-hours reaction has sparked widespread community debate on whether the AI growth narrative is fully priced in or if market makers are actively suppressing its price movement.

The Trade Desk, Inc. engages in the provision of a self-service and cloud-based ad-buying platform. It operates through the United States and International geographical segments. The firm offers omnichannel advertising, audience targeting, solutions for identity, application programming interface (API), custom, and programmatic, measurement and optimization. The company was founded by Jeffrey Terry Green and David Pickles in November 2009 and is headquartered in Ventura, CA.

Trade Desk Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Trade Desk Inc

The Trade Desk is trending after a significant stock decline, driven by first-quarter revenue guidance falling short of analyst expectations despite beating fourth-quarter earnings. The community is largely frustrated over the ongoing value destruction and management's stock-based compensation, while a few see the deep dip as an oversold opportunity.

Salesforce, Inc. engages in the design and development of cloud-based enterprise software for customer relationship management. Its solutions include sales force automation, customer service and support, marketing automation, digital commerce, community management, collaboration, industry-specific solutions, and salesforce platform. The firm also provides guidance, support, training, and advisory services. The company was founded by Marc Russell Benioff and Parker Harris in 1999 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

Salesforce Inc

Salesforce (CRM) is trending following its earnings report, where an increased dividend and a substantial $50 billion share buyback program are being heavily discussed, contrasting with mixed guidance and ongoing community debate about AI's potential impact on the SaaS sector; investors are divided between seeing a significant buying opportunity and remaining cautious.

C3.ai, Inc. engages in the provision of enterprise artificial intelligence software for digital transformation. It delivers the C3 AI suite for developing, deploying, and operating large-scale AI, predictive analytics, and Internet of Things applications in addition to a portfolio of turn-key AI applications. It operates through the following geographical segments: North America, Europe, The Middle East, and Africa, Asia Pacific, and Rest of World. The company was founded by Thomas M. Siebel, Patricia A. House and Stephen Maurice Ward, Jr. on January 8, 2009 and is headquartered in Redwood City, CA.

C3.ai Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

C3.ai Inc

C3.ai is trending amid unconfirmed merger talks with Automation Anywhere, fueling speculation about a potential buyout and short squeeze, even as the community remains divided on the company's past performance and future viability given its declining revenues.

Larimar Therapeutics, Inc. Is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the research, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics mitochondrial disorders and Friedreich's ataxia. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Bala Cynwyd, PA.

Larimar Therapeutics Inc

Larimar Therapeutics is seeing intense trading activity after receiving FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for its Friedreich's ataxia drug, nomlabofusp, leading to strong investor optimism for accelerated approval and significant upside. However, an upsized public offering and inherent biotech volatility are fueling active debate among the community about its immediate price trajectory.

IonQ, Inc. develops and manufactures quantum computers. The firm specializes in quantum computing and quantum information processing. The company was founded by Christopher Monroe and Jung Sang Kim in 2015 and is headquartered in College Park, MD.

IonQ Inc

IonQ is trending after reporting strong financial results, including significant revenue growth and strategic acquisitions like a major defense contract win, fueling community debate between those optimistic about its long-term potential and critics concerned by ongoing losses and high valuation.

Oklo, Inc. engages in the development of fission reactors. It provides clean energy through the design and deployment of fast fission power plants. The company was founded by Jacob DeWitte and Caroline Cochran on July 3, 2013 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Oklo Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Oklo Inc.

Oklo Inc. is trending as its long-term potential to power AI data centers with advanced nuclear reactors, supported by political tailwinds and a Meta deal, faces scrutiny from recent analyst downgrades, notable insider selling, and ongoing concerns about its pre-revenue status. The community is actively debating whether current dips represent a buying opportunity for future growth or reflect risks associated with its lengthy path to commercialization.

Snowflake, Inc. engages in the provision of cloud data warehousing software. The firm offers Data Cloud, an ecosystem where Snowflake customers, partners, data providers, and data consumers can break down data silos and derive value from data. Its platform supports a range of use cases including data warehousing, data lakes, data engineering, data science, data application development, and data sharing. The cloud-native architecture consists of layers across storage, compute, and cloud services. The storage layer ingests structured and semi-structured data to create a unified data record. The compute layer provides dedicated resources to enable users to access common data sets for many use cases without latency. The cloud services layer optimizes each use case's performance requirements with no administration. The company was founded by Marcin Zukowski, Thierry Cruanes, and Benoit Dageville on July 23, 2012 and is headquartered in Bozeman, MT.

Snowflake Inc

Snowflake is trending after reporting Q4 earnings that surpassed estimates, but its conservative guidance for future product revenue and a lack of clarity on AI monetization disappointed investors. This fuels community discussion about AI's impact on consumption models and contributes to a broader sell-off in the software sector.

Terrestrial Energy, Inc. is an advanced nuclear technology company focused on next-generation nuclear energy systems. The company is developing the Integral Molten Salt Reactor (IMSR), an innovative type of Generation IV molten salt reactor designed to produce reliable, low-carbon heat and electricity at competitive costs. The company is headquartered in Charlotte, NC.

Terrestrial Energy Inc.

Terrestrial Energy (IMSR) is gaining attention after executing a U.S. Department of Energy agreement for Project TEFLA, advancing its Integral Molten Salt Reactor fuel production. Investors are actively comparing IMSR to other nuclear energy players, noting its unique technology and strategic position to address the massive energy demands of AI data centers, leading to discussions of its significant long-term potential.

Enovix Corp. engages in the design and development of silicon-anode lithium-ion batteries. The firm's proprietary 3D cell architecture increases energy density and maintains a high cycle life. It is also developing its 3D cell technology and production process for the electric vehicle and energy storage markets to help enable utilization of renewable energy. The company was founded by Mr. Harrold Jones Rust, III, Ashok Lahiri, and Murali Ramasubramanian in November 2006 and is headquartered in Fremont, CA.

Enovix Corporation

Enovix Corp

Enovix is trending following its recent earnings report, where a new production purchase order for smart eyewear is being seen by optimists as a significant commercial validation and pivot toward AI-wearables, while others remain concerned about ongoing delays in smartphone battery qualification and soft revenue guidance.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Woods noted that the State of the Union address is usually a non-market-moving event that does not impact Wall Street, but added that under</li><li>President Trump, markets should “predict the unpredictable."&nbsp; In addition to the above, Trump is also expected to speak about the economy and highlight affordability for Americans.</li><li>U.S. President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address is scheduled for Tuesday late evening.</li></ul>In U.S. President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address, scheduled for Tuesday evening, there are two potential updates to watch out for that can move markets, according to Freedom Capital Markets chief market strategist Jay Woods.In a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.businessinsider.com/state-of-the-union-wall-street-politics-economy-stock-market-2026-2">report</a> from Business Insider, Woods said that Trump may provide updates on his tariff policy, as well as plans to escalate a potential military action against Iran in his address, both of which would impact markets.Woods noted that the State of the Union address is usually a non-market-moving event that does not impact Wall Street. “However, the one constant under President Trump is that we can predict the unpredictable," Woods reportedly told Business Insider on Tuesday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Tariff And War</h2>Woods said that Trump’s speech may provide more insights into the president’s plans or intent to continue to levy tariffs, despite the Supreme Court’s recent decision that struck them down. Any comments on tariffs were likely to impact markets, he reportedly said.Following the apex court’s ruling, Trump announced a worldwide 10% tariff, which he scaled up to 15%. The new global levies can be in place for 150 days before requiring Congressional approval.Meanwhile, tensions have been rising since Trump indicated that he could go to war with Iran if the country’s leadership did not agree to a deal to restrict its nuclear program.Woods reportedly said that any comments from the president regarding an escalation of war against Iran could move markets.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Other Updates</h2>In addition to the above, Trump is also expected to speak about the economy and highlight affordability for Americans, although this is unlikely to impact markets immediately. &nbsp;However, any comments about the economy might influence investor outlook on inflation and the labor market, subsequently impacting key rate cut timing expectations by the Federal Reserve, as per the report.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were in green on Tuesday. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.64% at the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) climbed up 1.03%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) edged 0.72% higher.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/tlt">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.09% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ief">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) fell 0.04%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a press conference at the White House, Washington, D.C., US on February 20, 2026. (Photo by Kyle Mazza/Anadolu via Getty Images)

What To Watch Out For In Trump’s State Of The Union Address: NYSE Insider Reportedly Flags Two Potential Market Movers

In a report from Business Insider, Freedom Capital Markets chief market strategist Jay Woods said that updates on tariff policy, and plans of military action against Iran could impact markets.

Equity

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The President also questioned the Supreme Court’s decision, stating that while all licenses carry a fee, the U.S. cannot charge one to other countries.</li><li>He added that the Supreme Court will find a way to come to the wrong conclusion, one that will make China and other nations happy as well as rich.</li><li>President Trump announced a global 10% levy before ramping it up to 15% on Saturday.</li></ul>President Donald Trump on Monday said that the Supreme Court “unwittingly” gave him far more powers and strength after striking down his tariff policy last week.“Our incompetent supreme court did a great job for the wrong people, and for that they should be ashamed of themselves,” he said in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116119857222583140">post</a> on Truth Social, while excluding the three justices who dissented against the apex court’s decision.“For one thing, I can use Licenses to do absolutely ‘terrible’ things to foreign countries, especially those countries that have been RIPPING US OFF for many decades,” he added.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Questions The Supreme Court</h2>The President also questioned the Supreme Court’s decision, stating that while all licenses carry a fee, the U.S. cannot charge one to other countries.“The opinion doesn’t explain that, but I know the answer! The court has also approved all other Tariffs, of which there are many, and they can all be used in a much more powerful and obnoxious way, with legal certainty, than the Tariffs as initially used,” he stated.President Trump added that the Supreme Court will find a way to reach the wrong conclusion, one that will make China and other nations happy and rich.In a reaction to the Supreme Court’s decision last week, President Trump reportedly&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-struck-down-by-supreme-court-in-a-6-3-decision/cZRNJbRR4xK">called it a “disgrace.”</a> Subsequently, he announced a global 10% levy before ramping it up to 15%. The new 15% global tariffs can be in place for 150 days before requiring Congressional approval.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Says He Does Not Need Congressional Approval</h2>In another&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116120496650075903">post</a> on Monday, President Trump stated that he does not need Congressional approval for tariffs.“It has already been gotten, in many forms, a long time ago! They were also just reaffirmed by the ridiculous and poorly crafted supreme court decision!” he said.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Trump_post_1_jpg_24518f64cb.webp" alt="President Donald Trump's post on Truth Social" width="716" height="268"><figcaption>President Donald Trump's post on Truth Social | @realDonaldTrump/Truth Social</figcaption></figure>He also warned in another&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116120439459742948">post</a> that countries that want to “play games” following the Supreme Court decision will be “met with a much higher Tariff, and worse, than that which they just recently agreed to. BUYER BEWARE!!!”<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Trump_post_2_jpg_d635a9d0d4.webp" alt="President Donald Trump's post on Truth Social" width="710" height="293"><figcaption>President Donald Trump's post on Truth Social | @realDonaldTrump/Truth Social</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">What Did The Supreme Court Say?</h2>The Supreme Court stated that President Trump exceeded his authority by invoking an emergency-powers law, while striking down the tariffs in a 6-3 decision.The court noted that the United States is not at war with every country in the world, and added that the U.S. government has not defended the application of tariffs as an exercise of the President’s war-making powers.“The Government thus concedes, as it must, that the President enjoys no inherent authority to impose tariffs during peacetime,” the court stated.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Monday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.39%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 0.55%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.46%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.23% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) rose 0.12%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/why-is-nvo-stock-falling-pre-market-today/cZRtZlKR4UC">Why Is NVO Stock Falling Pre-Market Today?</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

U.S. President Donald Trump addresses a House Republican retreat at The John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts on January 06, 2026 in Washington, DC. 

Trump Says Supreme Court Unwittingly Gave Him Far More Powers And Strength Than He Had Prior To Tariffs Ruling

He said he can use licenses to do absolutely “terrible” things, especially to those countries that have been ripping off the U.S. for many decades.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Trump said that the new baseline 10% tariff rate would go into effect in the next three days.</li><li>He added that at least three statutes, including Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, and The Trade Expansion Act &nbsp;1962, would permit him to charge higher tariffs.</li><li>Earlier on Friday, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled against Trump’s tariffs in a 6-3 decision, saying that the president exceeded his authority to use the emergency-powers law.&nbsp;</li></ul>U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday that he would levy a 10% tariff globally after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down his previous import duties.In a press briefing at The White House, the president called the ruling “deeply disappointing,” adding that he was “ashamed of certain members of the court” for not having the courage to do what’s right for the United States.Earlier on Friday, the U.S. Supreme Court <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-struck-down-by-supreme-court-in-a-6-3-decision/cZRNJbRR4xK">ruled</a> against Trump’s tariffs in a 6-3 decision, saying that the president exceeded his authority to use the emergency-powers law.Trump said that the new baseline 10% tariff rate would go into effect in the next three days.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The Statutes</h2>“In order to protect our country, a president can actually charge more tariffs than I was charging in the past,” Trump said.He added that at least three statutes, including Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974, and The Trade Expansion Act &nbsp;1962, would permit him to charge higher tariffs.The president said his tariff program is aimed not only at bringing manufacturing back to the country, but also at serving as a tool of foreign policy. He argued that the threat of tariffs has helped pressure other nations to ease armed conflicts and said negotiations over levies have drawn billions of dollars in planned foreign investment into the country.In his opening remarks, Trump said that this was an important case for him as a “symbol of economic national security.” He also added that after the ruling, foreign countries “that have been ripping us off for years are ecstatic,” but warned that the celebration would not go on for too long.In response to the court’s lack of clarity on how to refund the tariffs collected, Trump said, “We’ll end up being in court for the next five years.”The president also thanked Justice Clarence Thomas, Justice Samuel Alito, and Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who dissented in the vote, adding that there was no way to argue against their case.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Reaction</h2>U.S. equities responded positively to the Supreme Court’s decision to strike down global tariffs, edging higher after the ruling.At the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.58%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) climbed 0.74%, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) was 0.33% higher.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was down 0.05% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was down by 0.27%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/harvard-professor-blames-longest-govt-shutdown-for-lower-than-expected-q4-gdp-growth/cZRNhtaR4xA">Harvard Professor Blames Longest Govt. Shutdown For Lower-Than-Expected Q4 GDP Growth</a> &nbsp;

US President Donald Trump shows economic data charts in the Oval Office of the White House on August 7, 2025. 

Trump Slaps 10% Global Tariff After Supreme Court Ruling That He Called ‘Deeply Disappointing’

In a press briefing, Trump said that he is “ashamed of certain members of the court” for not having the courage to do what’s right for the United States. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The Supreme Court ruled against Trump tariffs on Friday in a 6-3 verdict, saying that the President exceeded his authority by invoking an emergency-powers law.</li><li>However, the court did not specify the extent to which importers were entitled to refunds.</li><li>Ross Gerber, CEO and President of Gerber Kawasaki, said that U.S. companies paid tariffs and they should get their money back.</li></ul>The Trump administration can replicate most of the tariffs struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court, analysts at Goldman Sachs reportedly stated in a recent note.According to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/zerohedge/status/2024875578495533066">post</a> by Zerohedge citing a note from the firm, the Supreme Court ruling will not be the end of President Donald Trump’s tariffs.“This won’t be the end of tariffs… the administration will almost certainly roll out alternative legal frameworks. Net result is probably slightly fewer tariffs, materially more trade uncertainty, and some incremental deficit concerns,” Goldman Sachs said.The firm noted that using Section 122 to impose 10% to 15% tariffs on most countries would allow the Trump administration to replicate most of the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), even as Section 301 investigations for unfair trade practices are currently underway.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Zerohedge_post_jpg_0d96e64957.webp" alt="Zerohedge's post on X" width="587" height="417"><figcaption>Zerohedge's post on X | @zerohedge/X</figcaption></figure>The Supreme Court&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-struck-down-by-supreme-court-in-a-6-3-decision/cZRNJbRR4xK">ruled against</a> Trump tariffs on Friday in a 6-3 verdict, saying that the President exceeded his authority by invoking an emergency-powers law. However, the court did not specify the extent to which importers were entitled to refunds.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Experts React To Supreme Court Ruling Against Trump Tariffs</h2>Ross Gerber, CEO and President of Gerber Kawasaki, said that U.S. companies paid tariffs, and they should get their money back.“Huge win for US consumers and businesses against a failed ignorant policy,” he said in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GerberKawasaki/status/2024880699204071851">post</a> on X. In another&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/GerberKawasaki/status/2024876272678277402">post</a>, Gerber called tariffs a “stupid policy.”<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Gerber_post_jpg_118e77daa1.webp" alt="Ross Gerber's post on X" width="582" height="142"><figcaption>Ross Gerber's post on X | @GerberKawasaki/X</figcaption></figure>Dan Ives, Global Head of Tech Research at Wedbush,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/DivesTech/status/2024871712127394066">said</a> that the tariff ruling will be a net positive for the technology sector and the AI trade.“We believe this would act as a net positive for tech with financial relief for many companies while creating greater supply chain visibility,” he added.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Ives_post_jpg_512eae901d.webp" alt="Dan Ives' post on X" width="577" height="201"><figcaption>Dan Ives' post on X | @divestech/X</figcaption></figure>Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, said in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/elerianm/status/2024866834982318189">post</a> on X that the “ball is now in the administration’s court,” especially with respect to using alternative legal authorities to impose tariffs.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/El_Erian_post_jpg_e0cafea2bd.webp" alt="Mohamed El-Erian's post on X" width="585" height="247"><figcaption>Mohamed El-Erian's post on X | @elerianm/X</figcaption></figure>Justin Wolfers, professor of economics and public policy at the Gerald R. Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan, pointed out in a post on X that the Supreme Court did not state that the U.S. cannot impose tariffs, but that the Trump administration needs Congress’ assent.“The Court didn't say that the US can't issue tariffs, simply that the President has to convince (the Republican-controlled) Congress first. If tariffs are a great idea, that should be an easy argument to win,” he said.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Wolfers_post_jpg_2a5c9333a9.webp" alt="Justin Wolfers' post on X" width="585" height="230"><figcaption>Justin Wolfers' post on X | @JustinWolfers/X</figcaption></figure>Economist Peter Schiff&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/2024868685668561384">said</a> that the Supreme Court “got it right” with the tariff ruling, adding that the levies are harming the U.S. economy.“But since the tariff revenue will now stop and past revenue must be returned, the already rising U.S. budget deficit will soar,” he said.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Schiff_post_jpg_f4093c5092.webp" alt="Peter Schiff's post on X" width="580" height="209"><figcaption>Peter Schiff's post on X | @PeterSchiff/X</figcaption></figure>Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Friday morning’s trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.05%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.27%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.32%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘neutral’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was down by 0.34% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) fell 0.07%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-struck-down-by-supreme-court-in-a-6-3-decision/cZRNJbRR4xK">Trump Tariffs Struck Down By Supreme Court In A 6-3 Decision, President Calls It A ‘Disgrace’: Report</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

 U.S. President Donald Trump participates in a meeting with fellow G7 leaders during a meeting at the G7 Leaders' Summit on June 16, 2025 in Kananaskis, Alberta. (Photo by Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

Trump Administration Can Replicate Most Of The Tariffs, Says Goldman Sachs Following Supreme Court Rebuke: Report

The firm reportedly said the Trump administration could use Section 122 to impose tariffs of 10% to 15% on most countries.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>According to a Bloomberg report, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Thursday that 10 to 15 days was “pretty much” the maximum amount of time he would give for negotiations for a nuclear deal with Iran.</li><li>Despite the burgeoning U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, bettors on Polymarket think that the odds of a strike on Iran over the next month are 50:50 at most.</li><li>During an address at a Board of Peace event on Thursday, President Trump said that the next 10 days will show whether the U.S.-Iran tussle escalates or a deal is struck.</li></ul>Prediction markets are buzzing with activity over the prospect of a U.S. strike on Iran after President Donald Trump&nbsp;gave the Middle Eastern country 10 to 15 days to strike a nuclear deal.According to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-19/pentagon-amasses-mideast-force-as-trump-threatens-iran-on-talks?srnd=homepage-americas">report</a>, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Thursday that 10 to 15 days was “pretty much” the maximum amount of time he would give for negotiations for a nuclear deal with Iran.“We’re either going to get a deal, or it’s going to be unfortunate for them,” he added.Amid this, the U.S. military has deployed a vast array of forces in the Middle East, comprising fighter jets, refueling tankers, and two aircraft carriers, according to the report.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Prediction Markets Indicating?</h2>Despite the burgeoning U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, bettors on Polymarket think that the odds of a strike on Iran over the next month are 50:50 at most.At the time of writing, the odds of a strike on Iran between February 20 and March 7 were in the range of 2% to 42%. March 15 is the first time these odds reach 50%. Thereafter, the odds continue to climb, reaching 76% by the end of the year.Bettors on Kalshi are pessimistic about the U.S. and Iran striking a nuclear deal, which would avert a strike.The odds of a deal being struck before April plummeted 39 percentage points over the past 24 hours, falling to 27%. The chances of a deal before August 2026 are even lower, at just 16%. Bettors are slightly more optimistic that the deal will be reached before 2027, at 48%.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_Iran_jpg_9fb2274a96.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on Feb. 20" width="897" height="451"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on Feb. 20 | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>The total betting volumes on Polymarket regarding a U.S. strike on Iran stood at a staggering $323 million, while Kalshi users placed bets worth $189,000 about the odds of a nuclear deal.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump’s Warning To Iran</h2>During an address at a Board of Peace event on Thursday, President Trump said that the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">next 10 days</a> will show whether the U.S.-Iran tussle escalates or a deal is struck.“Now we may have to take it a step further, or we may not. Maybe we're going to make a deal. You're going to be finding out over the next probably 10 days,” he said.Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, also&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/iaea-chief-warns-iran-not-much-time-left-as-trump-warns-of-consequences/cZRjHiQR4wt">warned</a> on Thursday that the window for Iran to strike a nuclear deal is at risk of closing.“There is not much time, but we are working on something concrete. There are a couple of solutions the IAEA has proposed,” Grossi said.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Friday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, edged lower by 0.01%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.03%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.07%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.17% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) rose 0.02%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">US-Iran Tensions: Trump Says Next 10 Days Will Show Whether United States Takes It A 'Step Further' Or Makes A Deal</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

U.S. President Donald Trump, pictured in the Oval Office, on September 25, 2025. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Will US Strike Iran Anytime Soon Given Trump's 10-Day Window For More Clarity? Here's What Bettors Think Amid The Military Build-Up In Middle East

The U.S. military has reportedly deployed a vast array of forces in the Middle East, comprising fighter jets, refueling tankers, and two aircraft carriers.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>At an event in Fargo, North Dakota, Kashkari reportedly said that the White House had made “multiple attempts to try to compromise the Fed’s independence” over the past year.</li><li>Kashkari responded to comments from the director of National Economic Council, Kevin Hassett, on the NY Fed’s paper, detailing the impact of tariffs on Americans.&nbsp;</li><li>Hassett said on Wednesday that the NY Fed’s paper was an embarrassment, adding the central bank’s economists missed key aspects of how the tariffs functioned.</li></ul>Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari reportedly pushed back on the White House’s criticism of a study on tariffs that found it was harming Americans, adding that it was a step to compromise the central bank’s independence.According to a Financial Times <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ft.com/content/f203a846-3ff8-4eef-b378-277c3fc5813f">report</a>, Kashkari responded to comments from the director of the National Economic Council, Kevin Hassett, on the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s paper that claimed almost 90% of the economic weight of President Donald Trump’s import tax was shouldered by Americans.Kashkari on Thursday called Hassett’s opinion on the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/americans-bear-the-brunt-of-trump-tariffs-as-per-ny-fed-report/cZRTtkCR4rt">paper</a> and a suggestion to discipline the NY Fed economists as “just another step to try to compromise the Fed’s independence,” as per the report.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The Fed’s Approach</h2>At an event in Fargo, North Dakota, Kashkari reportedly said that the White House had made “multiple attempts to try to compromise the Fed’s independence” over the past year, including “when the Department of Justice served a subpoena to the board of governors over some building expenses. It’s really about monetary policy.”He added that Fed officials were trying to ignore the political turbulence and instead focus on their dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.“As the noise grows louder, we hold even tighter to our mission and double down on staying focused,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Did Hassett Say?</h2>Hassett said in an <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/18/hassett-says-authors-of-new-york-fed-tariff-study-should-be-disciplined-worst-paper-ive-ever-seen.html">interview</a> with CNBC on Wednesday that the NY Fed’s paper was an embarrassment, calling it the “worst paper” in the history of the Federal Reserve system.The Trump official said the central bank’s economists missed key aspects of how the tariffs functioned and focused on the prices instead. Hassett claimed that the research did not fully reflect the positive impact on wages and other benefits to U.S. companies.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined on Thursday. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, fell 0.56% at the time of writing. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF </a>(QQQ) was down by 0.68%, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) dropped 0.69%.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) edged up by 0.02% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF </a>(TLT) was down by 0.09%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">US-Iran Tensions: Trump Says Next 10 Days Will Show Whether United States Takes It A 'Step Further' Or Makes A Deal</a>

Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari visits "Maria Bartiromo's Wall Street" at Fox Business Network Studios on October 11, 2019 in New York City. (Photo by Roy Rochlin/Getty Images)

Minneapolis Fed President Says White House Is Trying To Compromise The Central Bank’s Independence: Report

 According to a Financial Times report, Kashkari said on Thursday that the Fed was trying to ignore political turbulence and instead focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.

 Minneapolis Fed President Says White House Is Trying To Compromise The Central Bank’s Independence: Report

According to a Financial Times report, Kashkari said on Thursday that the Fed was trying to ignore political turbulence and instead focus on its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Trump said that the move would revitalize the American industrial base, create numerous jobs, and strengthen the country’s national and economic security.&nbsp;</li><li>In a separate statement on X, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said that the Ohio natural gas generation facility is expected to generate 9.2 gigawatts of power. &nbsp;</li><li>Meanwhile, in the Gulf of America, the U.S. and Japan will build a deepwater crude oil export facility that is expected to generate $20 billion to $30 billion annually in crude exports.&nbsp;</li></ul>U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday announced that America’s ‘massive trade deal’ with Japan had officially launched.In a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116087827602935657">post</a> on Truth Social, Trump said Japan had begun its first round of investments under a $550 billion commitment to the United States, across three projects: oil and gas development in Texas, power generation in Ohio, and critical minerals in Georgia.Trump said that the move would revitalize the American industrial base, create numerous jobs, and strengthen the country’s national and economic security.“The scale of these projects are so large, and could not be done without one very special word, TARIFFS,” Trump said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Deal Contours</h2>The announcement comes shortly after U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Japanese Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa met in Washington earlier this month to work out plans regarding Japan’s first tranche of investments in the U.S.In a separate <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/CommerceGov/status/2023858503803122129">statement</a> on X, Lutnick provided details of the plan. The Commerce Secretary said that the Ohio project would be to develop the largest natural gas generation facility in the country, expected to generate 9.2 gigawatts of power. &nbsp;“We will strengthen grid reliability, expand baseload power, and support American manufacturing with affordable energy,” Lutnick said.In the Gulf of America, the two countries will build a deepwater crude oil export facility that is expected to generate $20 billion to $30 billion annually in U.S. crude exports, secure export capacity for American refineries, and reinforce the country’s position as the world’s leading energy supplier.Lutnick added that the critical minerals facility would create synthetic industrial diamond manufacturing capacity in the U.S. which will onshore production 100% of U.S. demand for synthetic diamond grit that would reduce America’s dependence on foreign supply for the critical input in advanced industrial and technological production.<h2 class="st-heading-2">America’s Win</h2>Lutnick said that the projects would deliver thousands of “high-quality” American jobs.“Japan is providing the capital. The infrastructure is being built in the United States. The proceeds are structured so Japan earns its return, and America gains strategic assets, expanded industrial capacity, and strengthened energy dominance. The future has never been brighter,” he added.&nbsp; “America is building again. America is producing again. And America is WINNING again,” Trump said in the Truth Social post, adding that the present was an exciting and historic time for the U.S.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_02_18_at_2_52_41_AM_png_b3302860d8.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-02-18 at 2.52.41 AM.png" width="1059" height="1409"></figure>&nbsp;Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed on Tuesday’s close. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, closed up 0.16%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.10% at market close, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) ended the day 0.12% higher. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 declined 0.13% at the end of the trading session.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/tlt">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.17% at market close, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ief">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) fell 0.01%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/fed-barr-signals-pause-on-rate-cuts-until-goods-inflation-eases-report/cZRWssSR4uC">Fed’s Barr Signals Pause On Rate Cuts Until Goods Inflation Clearly Eases: Report</a>

So far this year, SPY is up 13.4% and QQQ has gained 16%, while EWJ has climbed 22.2%, outperforming both. (Photo credit: Getty Images)

Trump Says $550 Billion Trade Deal With Japan Launched, Adds Tariffs Made It Possible

In a post on Truth Social, Trump said Japan had begun its first round of investments in the U.S. across projects in oil and gas development in Texas, power generation in Ohio, and critical minerals in Georgia.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Barr said that he would like to see evidence that goods price inflation is sustainably retreating before considering reducing the policy rate further.</li><li>Barr noted that while the labor market had stabilized, it was still vulnerable to shocks even as hiring was in a “delicate balance.”</li><li>He also commented on the role of AI on the labor market, noting that AI adoption could also impact Fed policy decisions, while the boom would unlikely be a reason for lowering policy rates.</li></ul>Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr reportedly sees it appropriate for the central bank to hold interest rates steady until there is further clarity on goods price inflation.According to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/feds-barr-says-central-bank-likely-hold-some-time-it-watches-easing-inflation-2026-02-17/">report</a> from Reuters, Barr on Tuesday said in remarks prepared for a New York Association for Business Economics gathering that present data indicates it would be better to pause any changes to the key interest rates.“Based on current conditions and the data in hand, it will likely be appropriate to hold rates steady for some time as we assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks,” Barr said, as per the report.On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve is expected to publish minutes from its January Federal Open Market Committee meeting, when it decided to keep rates steady at 3.50% - 3.75%.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Eyes On Data</h2>Barr said that it would be a “prudent course” for the country’s monetary policy to take the time necessary to assess economic conditions before further changes.“I would like to see evidence that goods price inflation is sustainably retreating before considering reducing the policy rate further, provided labor market conditions remain stable,” he reportedly said.The Fed governor reasoned that while tariff-driven pressures on inflation may ease, price pressures would remain a concern.“ I see the risk of persistent inflation above our 2% target as significant, which means we need to remain vigilant,” he said, according to the Reuters report.<h2 class="st-heading-2">AI's Impact On Jobs</h2>Barr noted that while the labor market had stabilized, it was still vulnerable to shocks even as hiring was in a “delicate balance.”He also commented on the role of artificial intelligence on the labor market, stating that while it did appear to be having some impact, it was not yet a big factor affecting employment levels.Barr said that AI adoption had resulted in reallocation within companies instead of large-scale layoffs. However, he warned that there was a need to be prepared for the possibility of “serious short-term disruptions in the labor market” although its long-term gains were likely to be quite favorable.He noted that AI adoption could also impact Fed policy decisions, adding that the AI boom would unlikely to be a reason for lowering policy rates.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Tuesday’s opening trade. At the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up 0.01%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) declined 0.09%, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) rose 0.05%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 declined 0.18%.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.13% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) fell 0.05%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/alphaton-nvidia-blackwell-to-boost-ai-revenue-amid-share-sale/cZRWqfsR4uA">AlphaTON Deploys Nvidia Blackwell Chips To Boost AI Revenue Amid Share Sale Announcement</a>

Michael Barr testifies during a hearing before the House Financial Services Committee at Rayburn House Office Building on November 15, 2023 on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. (Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Fed’s Barr Signals Pause On Rate Cuts Until Goods Inflation Clearly Eases: Report 

According to a Reuters report, Fed Governor Michael Barr said on Tuesday that based on current economic conditions and data in hand, it would likely be appropriate to hold rates steady for some time.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>A slew of macroeconomic data is scheduled to be released this week, including the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure index, and housing data for November and December.</li><li>The weekly ADP Employment Change report, scheduled to be out on Tuesday, will kick off this week’s macroeconomic data release.</li><li>Jobless claims and fourth-quarter GDP data are scheduled for release on Thursday and Friday, respectively.</li></ul>U.S. Treasury Yields edged lower on Tuesday as investors eyed the release of delayed economic data during the holiday-shortened week.The benchmark 10-Year Treasury yield fell three basis points to 4.029%, while the 30-Year yield declined two basis points to hover at 4.67%. The 2-Year Treasury yield declined one basis point to hover at 3.401% at the time of writing.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Slew Of Macroeconomic Data Set To Release This Week</h2>A slew of macroeconomic data is scheduled to be released this week, including the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) index, and housing data for November and December.The weekly ADP Employment Change report, scheduled to be out on Tuesday, will kick off this week’s macroeconomic data release, along with the Empire Manufacturing Index and the NAHB Housing Market Index for February. The Conference Board’s Employment Trends Index for January is also slated for release on Tuesday.The Mortgage Bankers’ Association’s (MBA) 30-year mortgage rate data and the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) January meeting minutes are slated to be released on Wednesday.Jobless claims and fourth-quarter (Q4) GDP data will be out on Thursday and Friday, respectively.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Where Are Treasury Yields Headed?</h2>Following the softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) print last week, yields for the 10-year note fell to a two-month low of 4.06%.Meanwhile, Schwab Center for Financial Research’s head of fixed income research and strategy, Collin Martins, does not see room for yields to fall much further, absent a sharp economic slowdown.“While inflation’s moving in the right direction, it’s still a bit elevated, and budget concerns and the rising trend in global bond yields should keep long-term Treasury yields elevated even as the Fed cuts rates later this year,” Martin said in a recent note.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Soft CPI Should Ease Fed Officials’ Concerns, Says Martin</h2>Martin added that the soft CPI print for January should ease concerns among Fed officials about sticky inflation.“This should be well received by those on the Fed worried about sticky inflation,” Martin said. He added that while this shouldn’t change the Fed’s monetary policy direction in the near term, more reports like this might bring more officials of the central bank on board for rate cuts.According to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), on a seasonally adjusted basis, <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-consumer-inflation-january-2026-cpi-report/cZR5t5IR4sz">CPI rose 0.2% in January</a>, after rising 0.3% in December. This puts the annual rate at 2.4% before the seasonal adjustment.The odds of a 25-basis-point rate cut in June have edged up slightly to 51.7%, according to the CME FedWatch&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a>, up from 49% a week ago. However, the odds of a 25 bps cut in March remain low, at 7.8%.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up 0.16% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was up 0.48%. Retail sentiment around the TLT ETF was in the ‘bullish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/genuine-parts-plans-separation-of-auto-industrial-parts-businesses/cZRWKuqR4uP">Genuine Parts Weighs Split Of Auto, Industrial Units Into Two Public Companies: Report</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

US Treasury Yields | Representative image. (Photo by Jaap Arriens/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Treasury Yields Edge Lower Ahead Of Release Of Delayed Data: Expert Says Soft CPI Should Calm Fed Officials’ Fears Of Sticky Inflation

The benchmark 10-Year Treasury yield fell three basis points to 4.029%, while the 30-Year yield declined two basis points to hover at 4.67%.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The vote failed 52 to 47, short of the 60 votes needed to pass the bill.&nbsp;</li><li>Without funding, the DHS will go into a shutdown on Saturday.</li><li>According to a report from Reuters, a prolonged delay of the funding bill and subsequent partial shutdown would impact workers such as the Transportation Security Administration employees at airports.</li></ul>The U.S. Senate failed to advance a funding bill for the Department of Homeland Security after Democrats voted to block the deal on immigration enforcement.Democratic lawmakers on Thursday insisted on sweeping changes to immigration enforcement, blocking a Republican-backed measure to secure votes to fund the DHS beyond the Feb. 13 midnight deadline. The vote failed 52 to 47, short of the 60 votes needed to pass the bill.Without funding, the DHS will go into a shutdown on Saturday.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Shutdown Impact</h2>While the impact of the shutdown is expected to be minimal, since the DHS has classified about 258,000 of its 272,000 employees as essential workers last year and kept them working through the record 43-day shutdown, workers are likely to be required to continue without pay.While the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) and Customs and Border Protection are unlikely to be impacted because of the budget increases last year, other departments are likely to feel the burden.According to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-blocks-homeland-security-funding-raising-likelihood-shutdown-2026-02-12/">report</a> from Reuters, a prolonged delay of the funding bill and subsequent partial shutdown would impact workers such as the Transportation Security Administration employees at airports.The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), which supports disaster management across the country, is also likely to be impacted by worker furloughs.Moreover, the Senate is also breaking for about 10 days on Saturday, although it must return if an agreement is reached.Senate Republican leader John Thune said that the offer sent to Democrats was a “good-faith counteroffer” and hoped it would be passed to allow more time for negotiation.“It is an extremely serious offer,” Thune reportedly said. “It increasingly looks like Democrats are not.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Reactions</h2>Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined on Thursday. At the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF </a>(SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 0.96%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 1.53%, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.67%.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 1.29% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) rose 0.53%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/americans-bear-the-brunt-of-trump-tariffs-as-per-ny-fed-report/cZRTtkCR4rt">Americans Bear The Brunt Of Trump’s Tariffs, As Per NY Fed Report</a>

FEBRUARY 11: A security guard is seen next to the logo of the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (Photo by Celal Gunes/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Is A Partial Government Shutdown On The Cards This Weekend?

Democrats on Thursday blocked a Republican-backed measure to secure votes to fund the Department of Homeland Security beyond the Feb. 13 midnight deadline. 

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